Trump’s Unpredictable Stance on India and Iran Sparks Global Buzz
Donald Trump remains one of the most unpredictable figures on the world stage. Just when it seems that the former U.S. President might adopt a measured approach, he surprises everyone with statements or decisions that grab global attention. At times, he takes an aggressive stance toward India; at others, he calls Prime Minister Narendra Modi his closest and most trusted friend. He has talked about imposing 75% tariffs on Indian goods, yet also emphasizes that his friendship with Modi is heartfelt, not political.
Amid these mixed signals, speculation is growing in international circles that Trump could visit India at any time. Such a visit, if it happens, could significantly reshape the trajectory of India-U.S. relations. Adding to this optimism, the new U.S. Ambassador to India has also made announcements considered very encouraging for India.
25% Tariff on Iran: Impact on India
Trump recently announced a 25% tariff on countries trading with Iran, coinciding with violent protests in the country. While Iran is not among India’s top 50 trading partners—the bulk of its trade is with China—India still maintains significant trade ties. According to the Indian Embassy in Tehran, in FY2025, India exported $124 million worth of goods to Iran and imported $44 million. Indian exports include basmati rice, tea, spices, fresh fruits, and pharmaceuticals, while imports from Iran include apples, pistachios, dates, and kiwis.
Price Impact on Key Commodities
Iran has historically been one of the largest buyers of Indian basmati rice, importing around 1.2 million tons annually, valued at roughly ₹12,000 crore. India also imports significant quantities of apples, kiwis, dates, and other dry fruits from Iran. Analysts warn that the new tariffs could increase prices for these commodities in India.
Growing Unrest in Iran
For several weeks, widespread protests have erupted in Iran, initially triggered by a currency crisis and deteriorating economic conditions. The demonstrations have now escalated into a broader movement against the Islamic government led by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Human rights groups report that around 600 people have been killed and over 10,000 arrested since the protests began, marking the most serious challenge to Iran’s regime since 1979.
Trump’s Warning to Tehran
Trump has openly expressed support for the protesters and warned Tehran against using violent repression. In a Fox News interview, he stated that continued shootings of demonstrators could prompt a strong response from the United States. He also revealed that the Iranian leadership has reached out for dialogue, with meetings being arranged, though details remain scarce. Trump indicated that his administration is exploring all options and coordinating with allies to respond if necessary.
In short, Trump’s unpredictable positions—ranging from warm ties with Modi to strict sanctions on Iran—continue to keep both India and the international community on alert.