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Rising Tensions in the Middle East: Russia Warns Against US Military Threats to Iran

The Middle East is once again on edge. Violent protests in Iran and the government’s harsh crackdown have been further inflamed by US threats of military action, sending ripples through global politics. Russia has strongly condemned Washington’s warnings, calling them “categorically unacceptable” and cautioning that such actions could have devastating consequences for both regional and global stability.

In a statement released Tuesday, the Russian Foreign Ministry expressed concern over destabilizing measures amid the ongoing demonstrations in Iran, where thousands of lives are reported to have been lost. Moscow accused the West of exploiting sanctions and foreign interference to exacerbate Iran’s social and economic challenges.

Russia’s Stern Warning to the US
The ministry warned that any action against Iran could trigger catastrophic outcomes across the Middle East and beyond. Officials described Washington’s threats as provocative, particularly in light of Tehran’s domestic challenges. They also criticized the US for pressuring Iran through increased tariffs on its trading partners, calling it an attempt at economic blackmail aimed at isolating the Islamic Republic.

The Human Cost of Protests
Russia attributed the unrest in Iran to deep-rooted social and economic hardships, primarily stemming from long-standing Western sanctions. The ministry accused foreign actors of fueling the violence by sending specially trained and armed agitators to exploit the chaos. According to the US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA), as of Wednesday morning, at least 2,571 people had died—including 2,403 protesters, 147 government affiliates, 12 children, and nine other civilians—while over 18,100 individuals were reportedly detained.

Challenges in Verifying the Numbers
Internet blackouts in Iran have severely restricted the flow of information, making independent verification difficult. The Associated Press highlighted the challenges in confirming casualty figures, and Tehran has not released official statistics. The current death toll surpasses any unrest in Iran in decades, evoking memories of the upheaval during the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Russia urged its citizens in Iran to avoid crowded areas while cautiously expressing hope for stability.

Broader Geopolitical Implications
Russia’s intervention underscores the deepening Moscow-Tehran alliance, positioning itself as a counterbalance to US influence in the region. By linking Washington’s threats to the exploitation of domestic protests, Russia portrays the US as a destabilizing force while accusing it of orchestrating chaos. These statements signal Russia’s intent to protect Iran from external pressure, even as ongoing protests could heighten diplomatic tensions.

Rising Risk to Regional Stability
Experts warn that any military conflict between the US and Iran could escalate, potentially drawing in Russia and neighboring countries. As a key Iranian ally, Russia views such a confrontation as a direct challenge to its strategic interests.

Economic Fallout
Meanwhile, global trade is also under pressure. India is already facing tariffs of up to 50% in the US, partly due to punitive duties linked to oil imports from Russia. Recent US announcements suggest an additional 25% tariff on any country trading with Iran, potentially raising India’s effective tariffs to 75%—among the highest in the world.

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